Iowa wins by over 3.5 points

Iowa wins by over 3.5 points63%
No37%

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24h volume$46
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Iowa wins by more than 3.5 points in the Iowa vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement mechanics: Polymarket cites NCAA.com and uses a 50-50 result if canceled, while Kalshi uses its own fair-price rule after a 48-hour postponement window. These are not material differences in the underlying event being priced.
  • Iowa vs Minnesota: spread: Iowa (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Iowa wins by over 3.5 points

    If Iowa wins by more than 3.5 points in the Iowa vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Iowa wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi56% Iowa wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi52% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi57% Iowa wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi71% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi80% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi71% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi68% Iowa wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi91% NoOpen
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi56% Iowa wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi73% Iowa wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:57 AM UTC