UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-9.5)

Troy (-9.5)63%
UL Monroe (+9.5)38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Troy in the entire college football game between UL Monroe and Troy scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 9.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Troy's score minus UL Monroe's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement source and void/tie handling: Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast and has market review language, Novig uses its rulebook and pays fair market value on void, and Polymarket uses NCAA.com with postpone/cancel rules. These are not material to the underlying question of whether Troy covers -9.5.
  • Geminithis market

    UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-9.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Troy in the entire college football game between UL Monroe and Troy scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 9.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Troy's score minus UL Monroe's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

  • Troy vs UL Monroe: spread: Troy (-9.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Troy vs UL Monroe, scheduled 2026-10-24 20:00 UTC. Sides: TROY -9.5 / ULM +9.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 06:11 PM UTC

  • Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-9.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Louisiana-Monroe". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-6.5)Gemini80% Troy (-6.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-35.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-23.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-38.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-30.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-16.5)Gemini84% UL Monroe (+16.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-11.5)Gemini73% UL Monroe (+11.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-13.5)Gemini78% UL Monroe (+13.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-3.5)Gemini90% Troy (-3.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-33.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-17.5)Gemini86% UL Monroe (+17.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-5.5)Gemini79% Troy (-5.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-7.5)Gemini75% Troy (-7.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-24.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-27.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-4.5)Gemini86% Troy (-4.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-21.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-1.5)Gemini95% Troy (-1.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-20.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-2.5)Gemini95% Troy (-2.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: Troy (-10.5)Gemini61% Troy (-10.5)Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: UL Monroe (-4.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: UL Monroe (-3.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: UL Monroe (-2.5)Gemini—Open
UL Monroe vs Troy: spread: UL Monroe (-1.5)Gemini—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 10:45 PM UTC