ERCOT West Hub average power price above $100/MWh, Week 43?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT West Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: October 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 23, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $35/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $25/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 98% Above $25/MWh | Open |
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $50/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $0/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 99% Above $0/MWh | Open |
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $200/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| ERCOT West Hub average power price above $15/MWh, Week 43? | Kalshi | 92% Above $15/MWh | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 10:29 AM UTC