Michigan wins by over 6.5 points

No99%
Michigan wins by over 6.5 points1%

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24h volume$28.2K
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ResolvesOct 24, 20269 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Michigan wins by more than 6.5 points in the Indiana vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics: Novig references its rulebook and a void/fair-market-value approach, Kalshi uses a Yes/No wording with postponement and fair-price fallback, and Gemini cites listed source agencies plus a review process if the result cannot be determined. The published criteria are otherwise the same question with the same spread and teams.
  • Kalshithis market

    Michigan wins by over 6.5 points

    If Michigan wins by more than 6.5 points in the Indiana vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-6.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Michigan in the entire college football game between Indiana and Michigan scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 6.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Michigan's score minus Indiana's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

  • Michigan vs Indiana: spread: Michigan (-6.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Michigan vs Indiana, scheduled 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC. Sides: MICH -6.5 / IND +6.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 11:17 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Indiana wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Indiana wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Indiana wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Michigan wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Indiana wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 03:33 AM UTC