KalshiResolved

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 50,500 MW?

Above 50,500 MW99%

No1%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 is above 50,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 18, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 54,000 MW?	Kalshi	90% No	$5K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 54,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$374	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 52,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 52,000 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 53,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 51,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 51,500 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 52,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 50,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 50,000 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 51,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 48,500 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 49,000 MW?	Kalshi	98% Above 49,000 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 49,500 MW?	Kalshi	95% Above 49,500 MW	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 48,000 MW?	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 18, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 08:17 AM UTC