Alabama wins by over 1.5 points

Alabama wins by over 1.5 points67%
No33%

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24h volume$5.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 38 minutes

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alabama wins by more than 1.5 points in the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in published settlement mechanics: Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources and a market review process, Polymarket uses ncaa.com and 50-50 on cancellation, Kalshi uses a fair-price rule if not started within 48 hours, and Novig says the exchange rulebook governs and voids at fair market value. These differences do not change the underlying question being priced.
  • Texas A&M vs Alabama: spread: Alabama (-1.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Alabama in the entire college football game between Texas A&M and Alabama scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Alabama's score minus Texas A&M's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 23, 10:34 PM UTC

  • Texas A&M vs Alabama: spread: Alabama (-1.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas A&M". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Alabama wins by over 1.5 points

    If Alabama wins by more than 1.5 points in the Texas A&M vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 24, 05:11 PM UTC

  • Alabama vs Texas A&M: spread: Alabama (-1.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Alabama vs Texas A&M, scheduled 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC. Sides: ALA -1.5 / TA&M +1.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 24, 09:00 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Alabama wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi77% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi51% Alabama wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Alabama wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi67% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi55% Alabama wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Alabama wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi52% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi75% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi66% Alabama wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Alabama wins by over 15.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Texas A&M wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Texas A&M wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi74% NoOpen
Texas A&M wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Texas A&M wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Texas A&M wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Alabama wins by over 35.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:51 PM UTC