USC wins by over 6.5 points

No61%
USC wins by over 6.5 points39%

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24h volume$520
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 24 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If USC wins by more than 6.5 points in the USC vs Wisconsin college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Kalshi uses a fair-price fallback if the game is not started within 48 hours, while Polymarket stays open until completion and uses 50-50 if canceled. The published criteria otherwise ask the same question.
  • Kalshithis market

    USC wins by over 6.5 points

    If USC wins by more than 6.5 points in the USC vs Wisconsin college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • USC vs Wisconsin: spread: USC (-6.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
USC wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi53% USC wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
USC wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi56% NoOpen
USC wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi58% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi67% NoOpen
USC wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
USC wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi55% USC wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi78% NoOpen
USC wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi69% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
USC wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi61% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi70% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi82% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi84% NoOpen
Wisconsin wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
USC wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi79% NoOpen
USC wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
USC wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi85% NoOpen
USC wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi74% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
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As of Oct 24, 02:33 AM UTC