Vanderbilt wins by over 4.5 points

No88%
Vanderbilt wins by over 4.5 points12%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vanderbilt wins by more than 4.5 points in the Vanderbilt vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi stays open if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time and otherwise resolves to a fair price; Polymarket stays open until completion and uses 50-50 if canceled. Their published resolution times differ, but that does not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Vanderbilt wins by over 4.5 points

    If Vanderbilt wins by more than 4.5 points in the Vanderbilt vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Vanderbilt vs Kentucky: spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vanderbilt" if Vanderbilt win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kentucky". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kentucky wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi52% Kentucky wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi55% Kentucky wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi52% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi65% Kentucky wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi55% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi71% Kentucky wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi59% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi76% Kentucky wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi86% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi82% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi95% NoOpen
Vanderbilt wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi58% Kentucky wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi68% Kentucky wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Kentucky wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi80% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi67% NoOpen
Kentucky wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi79% Kentucky wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:58 AM UTC