Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-5.5)

Virginia (+5.5)79%
Duke (-5.5)22%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 22 hours

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Duke in the entire college football game between Duke and Virginia scheduled for 2026-10-23 at 6:00 p.m. CT is above 5.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Duke's score minus Virginia's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on resolution source and timing: Polymarket uses ncaa.com and a cancel=50-50 rule; Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources and a review process; Kalshi uses its own fair-price fallback if not started within 48 hours. These are fine-print settlement differences only.
  • Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-5.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Virginia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Geminithis market

    Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-5.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Duke in the entire college football game between Duke and Virginia scheduled for 2026-10-23 at 6:00 p.m. CT is above 5.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Duke's score minus Virginia's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 23, 12:28 PM UTC

  • Duke wins by over 5.5 points

    If Duke wins by more than 5.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-2.5)Gemini53% Duke (+2.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-6.5)Gemini81% Virginia (+6.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-9.5)Gemini90% Duke (+9.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-4.5)Gemini75% Duke (+4.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-16.5)Gemini96% Duke (+16.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-16.5)Gemini—Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-20.5)Gemini94% Duke (+20.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-3.5)Gemini66% Virginia (+3.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-14.5)Gemini92% Duke (+14.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-6.5)Gemini79% Duke (+6.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-1.5)Gemini56% Virginia (+1.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-7.5)Gemini87% Duke (+7.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-11.5)Gemini96% Virginia (+11.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-4.5)Gemini78% Virginia (+4.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-10.5)Gemini93% Virginia (+10.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-2.5)Gemini58% Virginia (+2.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-13.5)Gemini97% Virginia (+13.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-7.5)Gemini89% Virginia (+7.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-5.5)Gemini75% Duke (+5.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-1.5)Gemini50% Duke (+1.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-17.5)Gemini96% Virginia (+17.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-10.5)Gemini95% Duke (+10.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Duke (-9.5)Gemini91% Virginia (+9.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-17.5)Gemini95% Duke (+17.5)Open
Duke vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-11.5)Gemini96% Duke (+11.5)Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 01:20 AM UTC