Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-16.5)

Michigan (+16.5)71%
Indiana (-16.5)30%

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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Indiana in the entire college football game between Indiana and Michigan scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Indiana's score minus Michigan's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi differ on settlement mechanics (different resolvesAt times and Kalshi’s postponed-game rule), but both resolve the same underlying spread outcome for Indiana vs Michigan. The published criteria differ in no material way for comparison.
  • Geminithis market

    Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-16.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Indiana in the entire college football game between Indiana and Michigan scheduled for 2026-10-24 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Indiana's score minus Michigan's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

  • Indiana wins by over 16.5 points

    If Indiana wins by more than 16.5 points in the Indiana vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-23.5)Gemini85% Michigan (+23.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-7.5)Gemini52% Michigan (+7.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-20.5)Gemini79% Michigan (+20.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-21.5)Gemini83% Michigan (+21.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-11.5)Gemini61% Michigan (+11.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-14.5)Gemini68% Michigan (+14.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-4.5)Gemini84% Indiana (+4.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-5.5)Gemini85% Indiana (+5.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-10.5)Gemini93% Indiana (+10.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-6.5)Gemini86% Indiana (+6.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-7.5)Gemini90% Indiana (+7.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-9.5)Gemini92% Indiana (+9.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-4.5)Gemini60% Indiana (-4.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-5.5)Gemini59% Indiana (-5.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-9.5)Gemini55% Michigan (+9.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-3.5)Gemini63% Indiana (-3.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-1.5)Gemini76% Indiana (+1.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-13.5)Gemini64% Michigan (+13.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-17.5)Gemini74% Michigan (+17.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-2.5)Gemini70% Indiana (-2.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-11.5)Gemini94% Indiana (+11.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-27.5)Gemini91% Michigan (+27.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-1.5)Gemini72% Indiana (-1.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Indiana (-10.5)Gemini59% Michigan (+10.5)Open
Indiana vs Michigan: spread: Michigan (-14.5)Gemini96% Indiana (+14.5)Open

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As of Oct 24, 02:29 PM UTC