California vs. SMU

SMU91%
CAH10%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on resolution mechanics: Kalshi uses fair price if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, Polymarket resolves 50-50 for a tie or cancellation, and Gemini refers disputed/cancelled outcomes to its review process. They also publish different settlement times, but the published criteria are otherwise about the same event and outcome.
  • California wins

    If California wins the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 22, 04:06 AM UTC

  • California vs SMU: California wins

    In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • California vs SMU: California wins

    This market resolves to Yes if California wins the College Football game between California and SMU originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).

    read Oct 22, 06:41 AM UTC

  • Predict.funthis market

    California vs. SMU

    In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

    read Oct 21, 09:19 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 01:16 AM UTC