KalshiOpen

Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 1 hurricane? Category 1 or above

Category 1 or above99%

No1%

Price checked at Oct 24, 08:55 PM UTC

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24h volume$50

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vance reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 3 hurricane? Category 3 or above	Kalshi	88% No	$7.5K	—	—	Open
Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above	Kalshi	97% No	$3.7K	—	—	Open
Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 2 hurricane? Category 2 or above	Kalshi	99% Category 2 or above	$969	—	—	Open
Hurricane Vance category?: Will Vance become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$90	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:43 PM UTC