Polymarket USResolved

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 86 or above

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17, 01:08 PMOct 18, 07:40 AMOct 19, 02:11 AMOct 19, 08:43 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Will the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) in Los Angeles for 2026-10-18 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be greater than or equal to 86F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 84 to 85PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 82 to 83PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 80 to 81PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 78 to 79PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18? — 77 or belowPolymarketUs100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:56 PM UTC