KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,740 or above

No99%
7,740 or above1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$2.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 19, 20266 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17, 06:19 AMOct 18, 06:14 AMOct 19, 06:09 AMOct 20, 06:04 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT is above 7739.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 19, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 19, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi99% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi59% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi96% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi98% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi99% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi99% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi99% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi98% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi98% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,780 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,785 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 12:46 PM UTC