KalshiResolved

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.77% or above

4.77% or above77%

No23%

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24h volume$1.1K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.79% or above	Kalshi	91% No	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.69% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.69% or above	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.71% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.71% or above	$628	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.73% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.73% or above	$582	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.81% or above	Kalshi	92% No	$559	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.75% or above	Kalshi	91% 4.75% or above	$273	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.67% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.67% or above	$200	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.65% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.65% or above	$51	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.63% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.63% or above	$26	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.89% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.87% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.85% or above	Kalshi	90% 4.85% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.83% or above	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.61% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.61% or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 09:12 PM UTC