KalshiResolved

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.88% or above

4.88% or above99%

No1%

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24h volume$25

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	75% 5.04% or above	$651	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.98% or above	$650	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$564	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.9% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.9% or above	$481	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.94% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.94% or above	$471	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	99% 5% or above	$315	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	71% 5.02% or above	$282	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.96% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.96% or above	$237	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$103	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.92% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.92% or above	$26	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.08% or above	Kalshi	90% No	$11	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.68% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.68% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.1% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.51% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.52% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.52% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.63% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.64% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.64% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.45% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.46% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.46% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.55% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.56% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.56% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.57% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.58% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.58% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 19, 2026? 4.8% or above	Kalshi	95% 4.8% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19, 2026? 5.18% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 09:12 PM UTC