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KalshiResolved

Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be at least 3.91%? 3.91% or Above

No99%
3.91% or Above1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17, 05:33 AMOct 18, 01:57 AMOct 18, 10:21 PMOct 19, 06:45 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 16, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be at most 3.85%? 3.85% or BelowKalshi99% NoOpen
SOFR for October 16, 2026: Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.86%?Kalshi—Open
Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.89%?Kalshi—Open
Will the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 16, 2026 be exactly 3.90%?Kalshi—Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 25, 01:21 AM UTC