KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 40

No99%

Above 401%

Price checked at Oct 24, 01:33 PM UTC

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24h volume$9.1K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 50	Kalshi	99% No	$25.1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 15	Kalshi	97% Above 15	$14.7K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 23	Kalshi	71% Above 23	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 30	Kalshi	91% No	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 27	Kalshi	78% No	$1.3K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 25	Kalshi	52% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 20	Kalshi	88% Above 20	$914	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 35	Kalshi	97% No	$559	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders—

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As of Oct 24, 02:00 PM UTC