KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 210

No96%

Above 2104%

Price checked at Oct 24, 04:04 PM UTC

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24h volume$3.8K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 160	Kalshi	95% Above 160	$4.5K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 220	Kalshi	98% No	$2.9K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 170	Kalshi	89% Above 170	$2.1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 150	Kalshi	98% Above 150	$1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 180	Kalshi	63% Above 180	$903	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 185	Kalshi	54% Above 185	$652	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 190	Kalshi	60% No	$562	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 200	Kalshi	87% No	$147	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 205	Kalshi	90% No	$70	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 195	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 04:06 PM UTC