KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 280

Above 28088%

No12%

Price checked at Oct 24, 09:10 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 270	Kalshi	95% Above 270	$2K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 310 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 310	Kalshi	84% No	$1.3K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 300	Kalshi	64% No	$625	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 320 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 320	Kalshi	96% No	$515	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 260	Kalshi	98% Above 260	$122	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 290 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 290	Kalshi	63% Above 290	$120	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 330 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 330	Kalshi	98% No	$102	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

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Open interest—

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As of Oct 24, 09:46 PM UTC