KalshiOpen

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 25 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?

No85%

October 2515%

Price checked at Oct 24, 03:16 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.2K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Oct 25, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 23 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	90% No	$5.5K	—	—	Open
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 22 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	94% No	$2.3K	—	—	Open
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 24 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	85% No	$2K	—	—	Open
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	93% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 21 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	70% No	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25): Will October 19 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?	Kalshi	85% No	$1.3K	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 03:39 PM UTC