KalshiOpen

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 5

Above 588%

No12%

Price checked at Oct 24, 08:53 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 8	Kalshi	95% No	$3.4K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 7	Kalshi	82% No	$1.8K	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 6	Kalshi	55% No	$22	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 3	Kalshi	98% Above 3	$14	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 9	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 4	Kalshi	90% Above 4	$0	—	—	Open
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 10:03 PM UTC