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How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 7 days

At least 7 days97%
No3%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread5%
ResolvesApr 21, 2029in 2 years

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves is at least 7 days before they leave the role or their departure is announced, then the market resolves to Yes. The next Press Secretary is the first person, after Issuance, to formally hold the position of White House Press Secretary, as formally designated by the White House. Acting and interim Press Secretaries do not count, and time served in an acting or interim capacity is not counted. The count starts on the first day they serve as White House Press Secretary in a non-acting capacity. That can be the day they are named, if they take up the role that day, but never earlier. If no first day is reported, it is the earlier of their first White House briefing as Press Secretary and the first day the White House publicly identifies them as Press Secretary. The count ends on whichever of these comes first: The day they leave the role for any reason, including resignation, removal or moving to another role in which they no longer hold the title of White House Press Secretary The day the President, the White House or the Press Secretary says publicly that they are leaving or have been removed, including by naming someone else to replace them, or a Source Agency first reports this citing a White House or administration official A statement that they may leave, should reconsider or are under review does not end the count. A Press Secretary still serving when Trump's term ends on Jan 20, 2029 leaves the role that day. The number of days is the number of calendar days (Eastern Time) from the first day to the end day. A Press Secretary whose first day is Nov 1, 2026 and whose departure is announced on Nov 11, 2026 has served 10 days. The Exchange computes the count from the first day and end day as defined here; a tenure length stated in reporting does not determine the count. If no new Press Secretary begins serving before Jan 20, 2029, the number of days is zero.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 100 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 100 daysKalshi67% At least 100 daysOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 730 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 730 daysKalshi91% NoOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 60 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 60 daysKalshi80% At least 60 daysOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 365 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 365 daysKalshi57% NoOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 30 daysKalshi85% At least 30 daysOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 180 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 180 daysKalshi51% At least 180 daysOpen
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced? At least 14 daysKalshi90% At least 14 daysOpen

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As of Oct 24, 11:13 PM UTC