The Game Awards: Game of the Year: Will 007 First Light win the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year?

No99%
007 First Light1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If 007 First Light has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Game Awards. Any references to the Game Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Game Awards and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies official Game Awards sources, a tie-break by alphabetical order, and a fallback to Other if no winner is declared by Dec. 31, 2026; Kalshi settles simply on whether the game has won. They also use different settlement times, but the underlying question is the same.
  • Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

    The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    20 holders · 7 comments · read Oct 6, 03:36 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    The Game Awards: Game of the Year: Will 007 First Light win the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year?

    If 007 First Light has won Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Game Awards. Any references to the Game Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Game Awards and Kalshi.

    read Oct 21, 10:22 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 04:59 PM UTC