PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will Rick Hardin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

No99%

Yes2%

Price checked at Oct 24, 06:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$15

7d volume$15

30d volume$15

Liquidity$10.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesMay 19, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles at 2027-05-18 14:00 UTC and allows accelerated determination; Polymarket settles later and cites the Kentucky Republican Party first, with a fallback to credible reporting. These are material only to settlement mechanics, not to the event being priced.

Open
Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?: Will Rick Hardin be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kentucky?
If Rick Hardin wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If the nominee is not listed, every market resolves to No.
this market
Will Rick Hardin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	82% Yes	$587	—	—	Open
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	89% No	$140	—	—	Open
Will Charles "Bruiser" Martin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Savannah Maddox be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	95% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 07:11 PM UTC