KalshiResolved

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

No99%

Above 62,000 MW1%

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24h volume$0

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ResolvesOct 24, 202619 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 is above 62,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 16, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 54,500 MW?	Kalshi	98% Above 54,500 MW	$15K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 54,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 54,000 MW	$10.7K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?	Kalshi	96% No	$5.9K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$3.2K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 58,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$137	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$87	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$71	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$62	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 16, 2026 be above 58,500 MW?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 11:45 PM UTC