PolymarketOpen

Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?

Yes67%
No33%

Price checked at

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24h volume$278
7d volume$7.1K
30d volume$9.3K
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

"Beat Luke Littler" is a live Netflix special scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:00 PM GMT (3:00 PM ET). On the show, amateur challengers each play a single leg of 501 against Luke Littler for a £501,000 prize. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any contestant beats Luke Littler on the live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A contestant beats Luke Littler if they win a leg of darts against him and the show officially declares the contestant the winner of that leg on its live broadcast. The leg is judged under the format the show uses, including any handicap, head start, or modified rules the show applies. Any person other than Luke Littler who plays a leg against him on the official broadcast counts as a contestant. Legs played in qualifying tournaments, practice, warm-ups, or any other setting outside the official live broadcast will not count. A leg that the show voids or orders replayed before a winner is declared will not count. Retractions, disqualifications, or prize forfeitures made after a contestant has been officially declared the winner of a leg will not be considered, and whether the contestant receives the prize money will not be considered. If "Beat Luke Littler" is cancelled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if Luke Littler does not play a leg on the broadcast, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler" on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 24, 08:20 PM UTC