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Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

No61%
Yes39%

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24h volume$230
7d volume$530
30d volume$696
Liquidity$512
Spread6%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket76% YesOpen
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket77% YesOpen
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket79% YesOpen
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket62% YesOpen
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket67% YesOpen
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket60% NoOpen
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket56% YesOpen
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket68% YesOpen
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Polymarket89% NoOpen

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1 comment

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  • G.Hchen · 10 days ago

    Add Mississippi pls

As of Oct 25, 01:12 PM UTC