PolymarketOpen

Will Steven Spielberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$983
Spread2%
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket55% YesOpen
Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% YesOpen
Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket61% YesOpen
Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket73% YesOpen
Will Cristian Mungiu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Mike Leigh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Will Alejandro González Iñárritu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will David Fincher be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Beth de Araujo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Phil Lord be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket87% YesOpen
Will Christopher Miller be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Jesse Eisenberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will Danny Boyle be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Curry Barker be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will Tony Gilroy be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Andrew Haigh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Paweł Pawlikowski be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Joel Coen be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Na Hong-jin be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Ben Affleck be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Aaron Sorkin be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Janus Metz Pedersen be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:35 PM UTC