KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,725 or above

No99%
7,725 or above1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$1.2K
7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16, 02:52 AMOct 16, 10:10 AMOct 16, 05:27 PMOct 17, 12:44 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7724.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 16, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 16, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi99% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi80% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi79% 7,740 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi96% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi98% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi78% 7,760 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi78% 7,745 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi77% 7,770 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,775 or aboveKalshi79% 7,775 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi77% 7,765 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,790 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,785 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,780 or aboveKalshi76% 7,780 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi78% 7,755 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,795 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 16, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,820 or aboveKalshi—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 02:15 PM UTC