KalshiOpen
Will Trump impose martial law?: Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2027?
No74%
Before Jan 1, 202726%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$335
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, ‘martial law’ shall mean the suspension of civil authority and the imposition of military control over designated regions as declared by the President of the United States or Congress. The Payout Criterion does not include mere designation of military control over a specific property, such as for the opening of a new military base.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump impose martial law?: Will Trump impose martial law before Jan 1, 2028? | Kalshi | 68% No | Open |
| Will Trump impose martial law?: Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? Before Jan 20, 2029 | Kalshi | 60% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoHolders—
Held value—
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As of Oct 25, 06:53 PM UTC