KalshiOpen

US crude oil exports in November: Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.5 million barrels/day?

No78%

Above 5.5 million barrels/day22%

Price checked at Oct 24, 10:31 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread49%

ResolvesFeb 5, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 5.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US crude oil exports in November: Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 6.0 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	72% Above 6.0 million barrels/day	$79	—	—	Open
US crude oil exports in November: Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	73% No	$28	—	—	Open
US crude oil exports in November: Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	81% No	$0	—	—	Open
US crude oil exports in November: Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?	Kalshi	99% Above 4.0 million barrels/day	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 10:43 PM UTC