KalshiResolved

US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 412 million barrels?

No52%
Above 412 million barrels48%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$70
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 412 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Oct 16, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 411 million barrels?Kalshi78% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 410 million barrels?Kalshi69% Above 410 million barrelsOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 413 million barrels?Kalshi50% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 422 million barrels?Kalshi98% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 420 million barrels?Kalshi80% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 416 million barrels?Kalshi98% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 421 million barrels?Kalshi80% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 415 million barrels?Kalshi58% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 419 million barrels?Kalshi—Open
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 418 million barrels?Kalshi77% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 417 million barrels?Kalshi65% NoOpen
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 414 million barrels?Kalshi64% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 07:59 AM UTC