Josh Allen Rushing Yards Escalator

No99%
Josh Allen1%

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24h volume$12.3K
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ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Josh Allen in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000 y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) s = official rushing yards The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative rushing yard totals pay Yes $0.00. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles on Over/Under 59.5 using the official NFL game book; Kalshi pays via a scalar escalator based on the same official rushing-yards total for the same game. The published criteria differ in payout structure, not in the underlying question.
  • Josh Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5

    In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Raiders, scheduled for October 18 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Josh Allen records more than 59.5 rushing yards in this game, and to "Under" if Josh Allen records 59.5 or fewer rushing yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Josh Allen Rushing Yards Escalator

    If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Josh Allen in the Buffalo vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000 y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) s = official rushing yards The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative rushing yard totals pay Yes $0.00. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 19, 02:21 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

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As of Oct 24, 07:51 PM UTC