KalshiResolved

US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $975 billion?

No89%
Above $975 billion11%

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24h volume$241
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ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 is above $975 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 16, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $900 billion?Kalshi96% Above $900 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?Kalshi93% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $950 billion?Kalshi98% NoOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $925 billion?Kalshi99% Above $925 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $875 billion?Kalshi95% Above $875 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $825 billion?Kalshi99% Above $825 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $850 billion?Kalshi90% Above $850 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $750 billion?Kalshi90% Above $750 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $775 billion?Kalshi90% Above $775 billionOpen
US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $800 billion?Kalshi87% Above $800 billionOpen

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As of Oct 25, 09:29 AM UTC