Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?

No91%

Yes9%

Price checked at Oct 25, 05:39 AM UTC

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

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Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially the same; both resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, and exclude interim/caretaker PMs who are not elected and sworn in. One venue lists a resolvesAt timestamp in metadata, but the substantive resolution standard is unchanged.

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Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
199 holders · 34 comments · read Oct 3, 09:18 AM UTC
this market
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
read Oct 24, 02:20 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 05:47 AM UTC