Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes88%
No13%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve to the winner of the next Bulgarian presidential election, including a possible second round, and both rely on official Bulgarian results if needed. They differ only in settlement timing/details: Polymarket lists a specific resolvesAt time, while PredictFun adds an explicit fallback to Other if unresolved by Dec. 31, 2027.
  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

    Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

    read Oct 22, 05:47 AM UTC

  • Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

    Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

    357 holders · 34 comments · read Oct 2, 09:10 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 02:00 AM UTC