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Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?: Will Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

No94%
Yes6%

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24h volume$47.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ilhan Omar has their U.S. citizenship revoked before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only a final, involuntary revocation counts: a denaturalization judgment, a final USCIS decision, or loss of citizenship triggered by a federal conviction, with all appeals resolved before the deadline. A filed case, investigation, indictment or proposed legislation does not count, and neither does voluntary renunciation.

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As of Oct 24, 01:59 PM UTC