Real Madrid wins

Real Madrid99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$2.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 18, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15, 12:18 PMOct 16, 12:06 PMOct 17, 11:55 AMOct 18, 11:43 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Real Madrid wins the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi keeps the market open only if a postponement starts within 48 hours and otherwise resolves to fair price on cancellation; Polymarket remains open until completion and resolves 50-50 if canceled with no make-up game. These are different settlement rules for the same underlying game result.
  • Kalshithis market

    Real Madrid wins

    If Real Madrid wins the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Real Madrid vs Bilbao Basket: Real Madrid wins

    In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:30AM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Bilbao Basket win, the market will resolve to "Bilbao Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Bilbao Basket winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 01:24 AM UTC