KalshiResolved

Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.580 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.580

No94%
Above $3.5806%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$180
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ResolvesOct 15, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15, 12:12 PMOct 15, 08:05 PMOct 16, 03:58 AMOct 16, 11:51 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3.580 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.560 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.560Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.550 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.550Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.555 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.555Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.660 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.660Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.965 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.965Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.565 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.565Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.570 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.570Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.575 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.575Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.585 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.585Kalshi93% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.590 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.590Kalshi97% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.655 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.655Kalshi95% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.595 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.595Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.645 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.645Kalshi96% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.690 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.690Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.600 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.600Kalshi99% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.960 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.960Kalshi96% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.605 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.605Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.640 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.640Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.610 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.610Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.620 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.620Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.615 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.615Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.635 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.635Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.670 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.670Kalshi94% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.680 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.680Kalshi95% NoOpen
Natural gas price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the natural gas close price be above 3.675 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.675Kalshi94% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 04:03 PM UTC