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What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Task Force

Task Force99%
No1%

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24h volume$763
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ResolvesOct 29, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14, 10:39 PMOct 15, 12:14 PMOct 16, 01:49 AMOct 16, 03:23 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kevin Warsh says Task Force as part of Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? 2008 / Financial CrisisKalshi99% 2008 / Financial CrisisOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? TrumpKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Resilient / ResilienceKalshi99% Resilient / ResilienceOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Inflation (5+ times)Kalshi92% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? DollarKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? TariffKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Balance SheetKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Rate Hike / Hike RateKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? ProductivityKalshi99% ProductivityOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Crypto / Bitcoin / CryptocurrencyKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? RecessionKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Event does not qualifyKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Independent / IndependenceKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Price Stability / Stable PriceKalshi99% Price Stability / Stable PriceOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshi99% AI / Artificial IntelligenceOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? LayoffKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? Forward GuidanceKalshi99% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?: What will Kevin Warsh say during Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026? StablecoinKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 08:44 AM UTC