Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?: Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be at least 18 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? Ossoff by 18+
Price checked at
Prices have not been checked within the last hour.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Jon Ossoff's margin in the Georgia U.S. Senate election minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's margin in the Georgia governor election is at least 18 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Results of any December 1, 2026 runoff are not used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 01:35 PM UTC