PolymarketOpen

Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?

No69%

Yes31%

Price checked at Oct 24, 03:38 PM UTC

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24h volume$481

7d volume$2K

30d volume$2.3K

Liquidity$754

Spread15%

ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	72% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	55% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	54% No	—	—	—	Open
Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	94% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	85% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	62% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	74% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	73% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	64% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	71% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" or "Recession" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Unchanged" or "Dissent" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	80% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	72% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	Polymarket	73% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 04:27 PM UTC