Samford wins by over 1.5 points

No99%
Samford wins by over 1.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$436
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Samford wins by more than 1.5 points in the Mercer vs Samford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles on NCAA game results, while Kalshi uses its own rules and has a different postponement/fair-price policy. Those differences are only on resolution mechanics, not the market question.
  • Mercer vs Samford: spread: Samford (-1.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Samford" if Samford win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mercer". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Samford wins by over 1.5 points

    If Samford wins by more than 1.5 points in the Mercer vs Samford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 17, 05:54 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mercer wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 15.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Samford wins by over 8.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Mercer wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Mercer wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Mercer wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Mercer wins by over 19.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Samford wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 31.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Samford wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Mercer wins by over 35.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:44 PM UTC