PolymarketOpenvenue data is stale

Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?

No78%
Yes22%

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24h volume$154
7d volume$754
30d volume$1.6K
Liquidity$10.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Polymarket78% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 04:57 PM UTC