Oscar Nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film: Musk

No68%
Yes32%

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24h volume$16
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Spread2%
ResolvesFeb 5, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Musk is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles on the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences source and Kalshi uses the 99th Academy Awards nominations announcement language, but both resolve on the same nomination fact. The published criteria differ only in settlement timing and wording, not in the underlying question.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    Oscar Nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film: Musk

    This market will settle to Yes if Musk is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Oscars. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

    read Oct 24, 12:28 PM UTC

  • Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film: 2027 Best Documentary Feature Film Oscar nominations? Musk

    If Musk has been nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    read Oct 22, 05:00 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 10:39 PM UTC