Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC: spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

Aston Villa +2.590%
Newcastle -2.510%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 16Oct 17Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig EPL spread market on Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, scheduled 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC. Sides: Newcastle -2.5 / Aston Villa +2.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only on settlement details: Polymarket cites premierleague.com and has explicit postponed/canceled handling, Gemini lists source agencies and a review process for undetermined or disqualifying outcomes, and Novig uses its rulebook with fair-market-value voiding. These are material settlement differences but not different market questions.
  • Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC: spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Aston Villa vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Newcastle (-2.5)

    If Newcastle United beats Aston Villa by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Newcastle United's goals minus Aston Villa's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 12:22 AM UTC

  • Novigthis market

    Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC: spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)

    Novig EPL spread market on Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, scheduled 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC. Sides: Newcastle -2.5 / Aston Villa +2.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 17, 06:26 PM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 10:33 AM UTC