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Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$29
7d volume$619
30d volume$706
Liquidity$840
Spread6%
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket67% NoOpen
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket94% YesOpen
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket89% YesOpen
Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket89% YesOpen
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will "Saturn Return" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Polymarket95% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:37 PM UTC