PolymarketOpen

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?

No90%
Yes11%

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24h volume$140
7d volume$5.3K
30d volume$7.1K
Liquidity$8.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Sourcehttps://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Polymarket61% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in October?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in October?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in October?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in October?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 04:29 PM UTC