Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend Ballon d'Or 2026?

No99%
Yes2%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person attends the 2026 Ballon d’Or awards ceremony, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at the London Palladium Theatre. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Remote appearances, prerecorded messages, and attendance at a separate reception or after-party will not qualify. If the event is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official ceremony livestream or recording, however a consensus of credible reporting can also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only on settlement mechanics: Polymarket resolves by credible reporting and no later than Nov. 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, while PredictFun allows official livestream/recording or credible reporting and no later than Dec. 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Those criteria do not change the underlying question of whether he attends the ceremony.
  • Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

    The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend Ballon d'Or 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person attends the 2026 Ballon d’Or awards ceremony, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at the London Palladium Theatre. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Remote appearances, prerecorded messages, and attendance at a separate reception or after-party will not qualify. If the event is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official ceremony livestream or recording, however a consensus of credible reporting can also be used.

    read Oct 24, 12:15 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 09:14 PM UTC